Raza Abbas at 3QuarksDaily linked to a post on X by Magnus Hambleton which Abbas titled, “Which Door Would You Choose?”.
This is a fascinating, fun story about exponential growth and computers, in particular computer arithmetic, which I have annotated a bit for those less familiar with some terminology:
“I chose the green door ninety-three days ago.
At the time, it seemed obviously correct. Not even a close call. The red door offered two billion dollars immediately—a sum so large it would solve every material problem I’d ever face, fund any project I could imagine, and still leave enough to give away amounts that would meaningfully change thousands of lives. But two billion is a number. It has a fixed relationship to the economy, to the things money can buy, to the world.
The green door offered one dollar that doubles every day.
I remember standing there, doing the mental math. Day 30: about a billion dollars. Day 40: over a trillion. Day 50: a quadrillion. The red door would be surpassed before the first month ended, and after that, the gap would grow incomprehensibly fast. Choosing the red door would be like choosing a ham sandwich over a genie’s lamp because you were hungry right now.
So I walked through the green door.”
See an Exponential Growth Story.
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